NFL Players Facing Pivotal Seasons Ahead of 2026 Free Agency

As NFL training camps commence and the preseason readies for the Hall of Fame Game, the window for players seeking contract extensions rapidly narrows. New York Jets running back Breece Hall has expressed skepticism about receiving an extension this offseason, unlike his teammates Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner. Hall communicated to reporters, 'I'm not really expecting it before the season.' With a new head coach and general manager in place, Hall feels less prioritized, stating, 'Obviously, I wasn't drafted by them, I'm not their guy.'
While Wilson and Gardner are also not products of the current Jets regime, their substantial contributions at highly valued positions have solidified their standing. For Hall, who has accumulated over 1,300 scrimmage yards in each of the past two seasons, the journey to secure a lucrative second contract may extend until the 2026 free agency period. He acknowledges the necessity of an impressive performance this season, asserting, 'I've got a chip on my shoulder. I feel like right now, OK, it's my last chance. For me, it's always been, 'he's got potential, he's got potential,' but now I want to be the product.' Hall’s success hinges on his ability to enhance his explosiveness and consistency as a ball-carrier after recovering from a 2022 ACL tear.
Looking toward the upcoming campaign, Hall averaged 5.8 yards per carry his rookie year but decreased to just 4.5 and 4.2 yards per carry in 2023 and 2024, respectively. This season will serve as a critical period for him to establish himself among the league's elite young running backs to potentially secure a significant free-agent contract, akin to the four-year, $48 million agreement obtained by Josh Jacobs last offseason. Conversely, if Hall's performance falters, he may be relegated to a shorter 'prove-it' deal similar to Najee Harris's two-year, $5.3 million contract or the $3 million deal obtained by Javonte Williams this offseason.
Next year's free agency class promises a wealth of talented wide receivers, including prominent names such as Mike Evans, Courtland Sutton, Jauan Jennings, and Jakobi Meyers. This depth could complicate the financial outlook for players like Houston Texans receiver Christian Kirk, who previously celebrated a multi-year $72 million deal with the Jacksonville Jaguars. Although Kirk achieved career-highs with 1,108 receiving yards, subsequent injuries have hindered his performance. He missed five games in 2023 due to a core muscle injury and only played eight games in the previous season before sustaining a broken collarbone. Following a trade to the Texans that netted the Jaguars a 2026 seventh-round pick, Kirk now faces the challenge of regaining his status as a premier slot receiver within a younger, reshaped receiving corps.
To thrive in Houston, Kirk will need to secure a prominent slot role, maintain his health, and foster reliability as a target for quarterback C.J. Stroud. Successful performance may unlock a lucrative free-agent position at age 29, as shown by slot receivers who have recently commanded market attention, such as Cooper Kupp's three-year, $45 million deal. However, a subpar season could reduce Kirk's prospects to a one-year deal ranging from $1.5 to $2 million, akin to contracts signed by players like Braxton Berrios, Sterling Shepard, Robert Woods, and Van Jefferson this offseason.
Among those with significant free-agent implications is Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones, whose career trajectory has been notably erratic. After one standout season with the New York Giants, Jones secured a four-year, $160 million extension, but was released less than two years later. Following a brief tenure with the Minnesota Vikings in 2024, he joined the Colts this offseason, looking to compete for the starting quarterback position. Achieving this goal could enable Jones to re-enter the discussion as a high-earning starting quarterback in 2026. Fox Sports' Henry McKenna noted the potential for Jones to target an annual salary of $40 million if he performs well.
To reclaim his status, Jones must contend against 2023 first-round pick Anthony Richardson, who has been managing a shoulder injury this offseason. As the coaching staff likely favors younger talent, a close competition could see Richardson ascend as the starter if he demonstrates capability. Jones, who previously performed exceptionally well, has the chance for a resurgence similar to that of other quarterbacks like Baker Mayfield or Sam Darnold. However, failing to secure a starting role could result in him settling for a backup contract, such as the two-year, $8 million deal recently inked by Jameis Winston.
In the realm of offensive tackles, several noteworthy players could enter free agency in 2026. While it remains improbable for Los Angeles Chargers standout Rashawn Slater to hit the market, ongoing discussions about a new extension indicate the Chargers' interest in retaining him. If they finalize a deal, Kolton Miller of the Las Vegas Raiders will be positioned as one of the most sought-after left tackles available. Despite being lesser-known outside of Raiders circles, Miller has proven himself as a reliable starter, earning a commendable grade from Pro Football Focus, ranking 14th among offensive tackles for the 2024 season. With the escalating costs associated with even average tackles—illustrated by Dan Moore Jr.'s four-year, $82 million deal—Miller could secure a significant salary increase from his current $18 million-per-year contract if his performance remains strong.
The Raiders have ushered in a new head coach, Pete Carroll, alongside a new quarterback, Geno Smith, signaling a potential resurgence for the team. Consequently, Miller’s opportunity to shine could attract a wider market outside of Las Vegas. Should the Raiders struggle, it could significantly impact Miller's earnings as well. Additionally, 29-year-old Cam Robinson holds 101 starts in his NFL career and has recently signed a one-year, $12 million deal.
Notably, the trajectory of wide receiver George Pickens has been under scrutiny. At 24 years old, Pickens sometimes showcased potential as an elite NFL pass-catcher, notably accumulating over 1,100 yards and leading the league with an 18.1 yards-per-catch average in 2023. However, the Pittsburgh Steelers became increasingly wary due to inconsistency and maturity challenges, culminating in a decision to trade him to the Dallas Cowboys this offseason. The Athletic's Mike DeFabo commented on the organization’s experiences with players like Antonio Brown, emphasizing that monetary incentives alone do not address deeper concerns.
With a fresh opportunity in Dallas, Pickens will aim to rewrite his narrative as the No. 2 receiver alongside CeeDee Lamb. Reports have suggested a growing connection between Pickens and quarterback Dak Prescott, showcasing promising synergy. However, to secure his position, Pickens must deliver consistent production while mitigating distractions that previously hindered his growth. Success in establishing himself as a proficient player and teammate could position him for lucrative No. 2 receiver contracts akin to Tee Higgins’ $28.8 million-per-year deal. Conversely, failing to solidify his role may lead to a modest 'prove-it' agreement, echoing Diontae Johnson's $1.2 million contract from this offseason.
Finally, pass-rusher Haason Reddick faced a tumultuous journey in his recent career. After being traded by the Philadelphia Eagles to the Jets without a new contract, Reddick's tenure was marred by a holdout, limiting him to just ten games and culminating in a single sack. Eager to turn the page on a disappointing season, Reddick signed a one-year, $14 million contract with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers during free agency, although he missed an opportunity for a multi-year deal after a more fruitful season. Reddick is determined to prove his worth once again as a pass-rusher, hoping to command a robust contract next offseason, similar to the recent three-year, $51 million deal signed by Chase Young.
In summary, the upcoming NFL season holds significant implications for numerous players as they strive to solidify their value ahead of the 2026 free agency. Their performances will dictate not only their financial futures but also their standings within their respective teams.








