NFL Players at a Crossroads: Contract Extensions and the Coming Season

As NFL training camps commence and the preseason prepares to kick off with the Hall of Fame Game, the window closes for players seeking contract extensions before Week 1. New York Jets running back Breece Hall has expressed skepticism regarding the likelihood of receiving an extension this offseason, unlike his teammates Garrett Wilson and Sauce Gardner. Hall commented to reporters, 'I'm not really expecting it before the season.' He pointed out the transition to a new head coach and general manager, both of whom did not draft him, indicating that he may not be viewed as a priority under the new regime.
While Wilson and Gardner also were not drafted by the current Jets leadership, they have established themselves as essential players at more lucrative positions. For Hall to secure a significant second contract, he will likely need to wait until free agency in 2026, contingent upon a standout performance this season. He is among several players facing pivotal years that will shape their financial prospects in the upcoming offseason. Wilson has delivered three 1,000-yard receiving seasons while Gardner has achieved two first-team All-Pro selections, thus they had less to prove to head coach Aaron Glenn and general manager Darren Mougey upon arrival. Conversely, Hall, despite amassing over 1,300 scrimmage yards for two consecutive seasons, has yet to demonstrate consistent elite performance, a critical factor given the undervaluation of running backs in free agency. Hall acknowledged, 'I've got a chip on my shoulder,' indicating his sense of urgency to being viewed as a top-tier running back.
To elevate his standing, Hall must enhance his explosiveness and consistency as a ball-carrier, as his average plummeted from 5.8 yards per carry as a rookie to 4.5 and 4.2 yards per carry over the last two seasons. By excelling under substantial workload demands, Hall could position himself among the league's elite young running backs, potentially earning a lucrative contract similar to the four-year, $48 million deal secured by Josh Jacobs last offseason. Conversely, failure to demonstrate significant improvement may result in Hall needing to accept a short-term 'prove-it' deal, akin to those received by Najee Harris and Javonte Williams this offseason at $5.3 million and $3 million, respectively.
The subsequent offseason is poised to feature an array of talented wide receivers, including Mike Evans, Courtland Sutton, Jauan Jennings, and Jakobi Meyers, creating a competitive landscape for players like Houston Texans receiver Christian Kirk. After signing a four-year, $72 million contract with the Jacksonville Jaguars in 2022, Kirk achieved a career-high 1,108-yard season; however, injuries have impeded his performance over the last two seasons. Kirk missed five games in 2023 due to a core muscle injury and appeared in only eight games last season following a broken collarbone. The Jaguars' offensive struggles, compounded by quarterback Trevor Lawrence's injuries, prompted a trade of Kirk to the Texans, netting Jacksonville a 2026 seventh-round pick. In Houston, Kirk will have a chance to reclaim his status as a premier slot receiver, although competition from a retooled offensive line and emerging talent at receiver will require him to earn his role during training camp. Success in this new environment could position Kirk as a sought-after target for quarterback C.J. Stroud as he heads into free agency at age 29.
The future of Indianapolis Colts quarterback Daniel Jones also hangs in the balance, presenting a boom-or-bust scenario for his impending free agency. After an impressive season with the New York Giants led to a four-year, $160 million extension, Jones was released less than two years post-signing. Following a brief stint with the Minnesota Vikings, Jones joined the Colts this offseason, presenting him with an opportunity to compete for the starting job. Analysts speculate he could aim for an annual salary of $40 million if he performs well, but for that to happen, he must first defeat 2023 first-round pick Anthony Richardson for the starting role or assume command early in the season. Although Richardson is recovering from a shoulder injury, the Colts are likely to favor the talented rookie, given his projected potential and the advantage of his rookie contract. Jones has the opportunity to reshape his career narrative, akin to the stories of Baker Mayfield or Sam Darnold, yet if he falters, he may find himself vying for a backup position, potentially receiving an offer reminiscent of Jameis Winston's two-year, $8 million contract this March.
For the left tackle position, a few candidates are on track for the 2026 free-agent market, though it is unlikely that Los Angeles Chargers star Rashawn Slater will reach that point, as the two-time Pro Bowler has been in discussions regarding an extension. Assuming an agreement is finalized, Kolton Miller of the Las Vegas Raiders stands to be a highly sought-after left tackle in free agency. Although his name may not be widely recognized beyond Raiders fans, Miller's reliability is notable, as reflected in his ranking by Pro Football Focus, which placed him 14th among 140 offensive tackles for the 2024 season. Given the upward trend of salaries for even average tackles, evident in Dan Moore Jr.’s four-year, $82 million contract, Miller could secure a substantial increase from his current $18 million annual salary, provided he maintains his performance and health. The addition of a new head coach in Pete Carroll and quarterback Geno Smith could enhance the Raiders' relevance, offering Miller the chance to capture attention beyond Las Vegas. However, should the team underperform, it may negatively impact Miller's future financial prospects.
Cam Robinson, who has 101 career starts, recently inked a one-year, $12 million contract. The potential of Pittsburgh Steelers wide receiver George Pickens has never been in doubt, with glimpses of elite NFL receiving ability. In 2023, he surpassed 1,100 yards and led the NFL with an impressive 18.1 yards-per-catch average. However, the Steelers have struggled with Pickens' inconsistency and maturity issues, ultimately deciding to part ways with him, trading him to the Dallas Cowboys this offseason. The Steelers learned from past experiences with receivers like Antonio Brown that financial incentives often exacerbate existing issues, rather than resolve them. Now in Dallas, Pickens has the opportunity to alter the narrative while thriving as the No. 2 receiver alongside CeeDee Lamb. Early indications show a strong emerging chemistry with quarterback Dak Prescott. Nonetheless, Pickens must deliver consistent performances and manage distractions, avoiding unnecessary confrontations on the field. A successful campaign could see him command significant No. 2 receiver compensation in the following offseason, potentially aligning him with salaries akin to Tee Higgins' $28.8 million-per-year deal; failure to meet expectations may lead to a minimal 'prove-it' contract like Diontae Johnson's $1.2 million agreement this offseason.
Similarly, NFL pass-rusher Haason Reddick encountered significant setbacks last season, culminating in a trade from the Philadelphia Eagles to the Jets without a new contract, leading to a holdout that impacted his participation. Reddick managed only ten games, recording a solitary sack, a stark contrast to his previous streak of four straight seasons with double-digit sacks. While he later secured a one-year, $14 million deal with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, he did not reach the multi-year contract he likely would have anticipated after a stronger season. Reddick is eager to leave the tumultuous previous season behind. 'It's a fresh start,' he remarked in March, highlighting a renewed mindset. Despite turning 31 in September, if he succeeds in regaining his status as a leading pass-rusher, he could command a lucrative long-term deal in the next offseason. Although he will not match the three-year, $123 million deal that T.J. Watt recently signed, teams remain willing to invest in experienced sack artists who deliver results. Reddick's performance this season will be pivotal; failure to reestablish his prowess may lead to a one-year contract in the $5-6 million range, comparable to agreements signed by Calais Campbell, Dante Fowler Jr., and Von Miller this offseason.








