Analytics have increasingly influenced decision-making and strategy in the NBA, enhancing the understanding and research of the game. As the seconds dwindle on the shot clock, each team requires a reliable player to make critical scoring decisions. However, determining the best choice for these game-defining moments can be challenging, especially following significant roster changes during the 2025 offseason. The question arises: Has Luka Dončić solidified his claim to be the primary scorer for the Los Angeles Lakers, or does LeBron James' extensive experience still warrant him that responsibility? Additionally, with Kyrie Irving currently sidelined due to a torn ACL, do Anthony Davis or rookie Cooper Flagg become the preferred options for last-shot scenarios? Furthermore, is there a standout player on the Washington Wizards who can step up when the stakes are highest? This analysis aims to explore who is likely to take the last shot for each team in the NBA during crucial moments.

Among the most improved teams in the past offseason, the Atlanta Hawks have added talents such as Kristaps Porziņģis and Nickeil Alexander-Walker. Jalen Johnson, recovering from a shoulder surgery, is expected to contribute significantly alongside the 2024 No. 1 overall pick, Zaccharie Risacher, who concluded his rookie year on a high note. Yet, when the game is on the line, the ball is most likely to be in Trae Young’s hands. His average of 7.1 points per game in the fourth quarter ranked him among the elite closers in the league, just behind a handful of players like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Stephen Curry. Despite posting a shooting percentage of 41.0% overall in the fourth quarter, Young stands out as the Hawks' primary option, though his performance may hinge on Johnson's development.

In Boston, the Celtics are facing unique challenges heading into the 2025-26 season. With Jayson Tatum likely out for the entire season due to a torn Achilles and key players like Jrue Holiday and Kristaps Porziņģis departing in salary-cap moves, the options for crucial last-minute shots have significantly diminished. Jaylen Brown, who averaged 5.4 points in the final quarter last season, now emerges as the primary scoring option in high-pressure scenarios. Derrick White, putting up 4.9 points in the fourth quarter, is also a credible candidate to take the last shot, particularly benefiting from the notable reduction in competition for ball-handling responsibilities. Moving to Brooklyn, the current roster presents limited options as Cam Thomas is expected to either return on a qualifying offer or a new deal, complemented by Michael Porter Jr. Both players demonstrated proficiency in end-game situations last season, with Thomas leading the league in fourth-quarter usage rate, making him and Porter critical players to watch as the Nets navigate high-stakes moments.