Brock Nelsons Trade Value and Potential Suitors in the NHL
The New York Islanders are currently in a challenging position within the Eastern Conference playoff race, sitting six points out of the final wild-card berth as of January 25. With the task of overtaking six teams ahead of them, speculation has surged regarding the possibility of general manager Lou Lamoriello becoming a seller as the NHL trade deadline approaches. If the Islanders do choose to enter the market, Brock Nelson is positioned to become Lamoriello’s most valuable trade asset. The 33-year-old center has established himself as a consistent scorer, achieving the milestone of 30 or more goals three times and is completing a six-year contract with an annual average value of $6 million. It is noteworthy that Nelson has a 16-team no-trade list in place. While Lamoriello stated on January 9 that his primary focus remains on the team's playoff aspirations rather than the March 7 trade deadline, circumstances may force a shift in strategy, especially with the absence of top defenseman Noah Dobson due to a lower-body injury.
Based on his playoff experience and scoring capabilities, Nelson would undoubtedly attract attention from playoff contenders seeking a first or second-line rental center. Among the teams rumored to be interested is the Carolina Hurricanes. On January 24, reports indicated that the Hurricanes had expressed minimal interest in Vancouver Canucks center J.T. Miller, but their need for a reliable second-line center remains unfulfilled. Currently, Jordan Staal is better suited for third-line duties, and Jesperi Kotkaniemi has struggled to meet expectations, which leaves Nelson as an appealing short-term solution for the Hurricanes. Notably, the Hurricanes added wingers Mikko Rantanen and Taylor Hall, potentially positioning themselves for a Stanley Cup push this spring. With approximately $1.23 million in projected cap space ahead of the trade deadline, the Hurricanes would need to move salary in any potential deal, while the Islanders may need to retain part of Nelson's cap hit. A trade could potentially involve the Hurricanes surrendering a 2025 first-round pick, a young roster player, and possibly a prospect such as Scott Morrow, Bradley Nadeau, or Felix Unger Sörum.
The Dallas Stars present another potential destination for Nelson. With Tyler Seguin undergoing hip surgery in December, he is expected to be sidelined for the remainder of the regular season. This opens the door for general manager Jim Nill to place Seguin on long-term injured reserve before the trade deadline, thereby freeing up cap space to acquire another center. Nelson's versatile scoring ability and postseason experience could be crucial for the Stars, especially after their consecutive eliminations from the Western Conference Finals. On January 15, it was reported that the Stars have taken an interest in Nelson, though uncertainty remains about the Islanders' willingness to part with him. Should the Islanders drop out of the playoff race, a trade could materialize before March 7, with the Stars likely able to accommodate Nelson's $6 million cap hit once Seguin is placed on LTIR. Acquiring him could cost the Stars a first-round pick, along with a prospect such as defenseman Liam Bichsel or winger Emil Hemming.
The Minnesota Wild could also be a fitting landing spot for Nelson. With the player hailing from Minnesota, he would integrate well into their roster as either a center or winger within their top nine forwards. However, acquiring Nelson presents financial challenges for the Wild, as they are close to the $88 million cap ceiling. According to reports, general manager Bill Guerin would need to free up some salary to facilitate a trade. It has been suggested that the Islanders might have to retain some portion of Nelson's cap hit, potentially involving a three-team deal. One potential trade candidate for the Wild could be center Marco Rossi, especially if he is not re-signed as a pending restricted free agent by the March 7 deadline. Should the Wild choose to retain Rossi, they would likely need to include additional prospects in any trade discussions, particularly as they traded away their 2025 first-round pick. Prospects such as Riley Heidt, Liam Öhgren, or Carson Lambos could become appealing options in such negotiations.
The Washington Capitals, despite being expected to miss the playoffs this season, have proven to be a surprising contender for the top spot in the overall standings. With attention on captain Alex Ovechkin's pursuit of Wayne Gretzky's goal record, general manager Chris Patrick may consider adding roster depth for a potential postseason run. Reports from January 22 indicated that the Capitals have contacted the Islanders regarding Nelson's availability. While some teams may opt to negotiate a contract extension for Nelson, the Capitals seem open to acquiring him strictly as a rental for the playoffs. With Dylan Strome and Pierre-Luc Dubois currently centering the top two lines, adding Nelson would enhance the Capitals' depth at center, as he is also capable of playing on the wing, adding further scoring depth. With approximately $3.7 million in projected cap space for the trade deadline, the Capitals would require the Islanders to retain a portion of Nelson's $6 million AAV. In return, they could propose a promising young player, such as center Hendrix Lapierre or Terik Parascak, along with one of their two 2025 second-round picks or a first-rounder.
Lastly, the Winnipeg Jets find themselves in contention for the top overall standing but face the pressing need to strengthen their center depth, particularly on the second line. While Adam Lowry and Vladislav Namestnikov have performed admirably, a player of Nelson's caliber would bring stability to the position. General manager Kevin Cheveldayoff has demonstrated a willingness to acquire rental players during the postseason in past trade deadlines. With $11.2 million in projected trade deadline cap space, the Jets are well-positioned to pursue Nelson while maintaining flexibility for additional moves. Cheveldayoff may be inclined to part with a first-round pick if he believes Nelson could provide the necessary boost for a Stanley Cup run. Additionally, a prospect like winger Colby Barlow or even Brad Lambert could be considered, depending on their development trajectories. However, the question remains whether the Jets appear on Nelson's no-trade list. Given his ties to Minnesota, he may be amenable to a short-term adjustment for a team positioned for a top playoff spot.
As the trade deadline approaches, the conversation surrounding Brock Nelson's potential move continues to heat up, drawing interest from multiple teams eager to bolster their rosters for a successful playoff run.