Super Bowl LIX Approaches: Key Free Agent Predictions for the NFL Offseason
The Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are poised to compete in Super Bowl LIX, marking the conclusion of the 2024 NFL season. As the championship game draws near, attention will soon shift to the offseason and free agency. A number of prominent players are expected to become unrestricted free agents when the new league year commences on March 12. While some players may receive contract extensions or be designated with the franchise tag before that date, the deadline for applying franchise and transition tags arrives on March 4. Although the free agency landscape will undergo significant changes in the upcoming weeks, a clearer picture of potential available players is beginning to emerge.
Among the notable impending free agents is Minnesota Vikings quarterback Sam Darnold. Despite ending his 2024 campaign with two disappointing performances, Darnold stands out as the top quarterback available due to his age (27), arm strength, mobility, and recent Pro Bowl-level production. A return to Minnesota could be advantageous, particularly as 2024 first-round pick J.J. McCarthy has yet to play following knee surgery. The Vikings may opt to retain Darnold via a new contract or the franchise tag, although both options would be costly; the projected franchise tag value for quarterbacks in 2025 is $39.6 million, and Darnold's market value is estimated at $40.1 million. Should Darnold depart for a team in need of a quarterback, the Las Vegas Raiders, with $93 million in projected cap space, could be an ideal landing spot, as they seek a long-term solution at the position.
As for running backs, the 2025 market does not boast the same caliber as the previous year, which featured stars like Saquon Barkley and Derrick Henry. However, Aaron Jones remains a leading option due to his consistent production and dual-threat capability. After a strong season with the Vikings, where he racked up 1,138 rushing yards and 408 receiving yards, Jones is poised to attract interest from teams with playoff aspirations. It is anticipated that the Vikings will prioritize keeping Jones, thereby supporting McCarthy with a reliable running back. The Vikings are projected to have $61.4 million in cap space, making the re-signing of Jones a logical step.
Cincinnati Bengals receiver Tee Higgins is another key player expected to be available in free agency. At just 26, Higgins has demonstrated his capabilities with two 1,000-yard seasons and 4,595 total receiving yards. He has expressed a desire to remain in Cincinnati alongside Joe Burrow and Ja'Marr Chase, yet the franchise's history of not overpaying players could lead to Higgins testing the market. With a projected annual market value of $25.1 million, the New England Patriots may well be interested in acquiring him, especially as they aim to address their offensive needs.
In terms of tight ends, Mike Gesicki from the Bengals is a versatile option. Despite lacking blocking prowess, Gesicki excelled as a pass-catcher last season, recording 65 receptions for 665 yards and two touchdowns. The Bengals may benefit from retaining Gesicki for another season to allow for the development of potential replacements while ensuring they maintain a strong receiving threat at the tight end position.
In the tackle market, Ronnie Stanley of the Ravens has solidified his status following a healthy 2024 season, starting all games and allowing only two sacks. At 31, he remains one of the most sought-after left tackles, and while Baltimore faces salary cap constraints, re-signing him is likely to be a priority, especially given their successful offense in 2024.
Kansas City Chiefs guard Trey Smith is emerging as a highly-coveted player as well. Contributing significantly to the Chiefs' running attack without allowing a single sack in 2024, Smith's projected market value of $19.7 million per year may surpass the team's ability to retain him unless they undergo some financial restructuring. The Tennessee Titans, with ample cap space, could be a potential destination for Smith, especially given his college ties to the area.
On the defensive side, Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackle B.J. Hill remains a disruptive force. Although he battled injuries in 2024, he still posted impressive stats and is expected to attract attention. The Detroit Lions may emerge as a strong landing spot for Hill, as they seek to fortify their defensive unit following injury struggles during the past season.
Azeez Ojulari, the New York Giants edge rusher, has also garnered interest after a promising season, showcasing potential as a young defender. Should Ojulari enter free agency, the Patriots may pursue him to enhance their pass rush significantly weakened after trading key contributors last season.
Kansas City Chiefs linebacker Nick Bolton presents another critical free agency storyline. Having proven himself as a reliable starter, Bolton's future in Kansas City will depend on the team's ability to manage their resources effectively. His retention is viewed as feasible and necessary for maintaining the Chiefs' strong defensive unit as they prepare for their Super Bowl appearance.
With cornerback D.J. Reed of the New York Jets planning to enter free agency, his considerable contribution to the team may lead to significant offers from other franchises, including a potential return to the San Francisco 49ers. San Francisco's defense aimed to bolster its depleted secondary, and Reed's familiarity with the organization may facilitate a reunion.
Lastly, Miami Dolphins safety Jevon Holland is anticipated to be the premier safety on the market in 2025, thanks to his stellar performance throughout his career. However, Miami's financial situation may hinder their ability to retain him, resulting in Holland likely testing free agency, where he could find an attractive opportunity with the Chicago Bears, who are working to strengthen their defensive capabilities while developing a talented young quarterback.