NFL Rookies Entering Year Two: Expectations and Development

Most NFL rookies do not transition smoothly from college football to the professional level. Each player develops at a different pace on the developmental spectrum, and the level of investment in each individual often dictates the level of patience afforded to them. However, some rookies manage to make an immediate impact. An example of this is Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels, who defies conventional expectations for a rookie quarterback by starting on Day 1, throwing for over 3,500 yards, leading his team in rushing, and helping them reach the NFC Championship Game. Such occurrences are atypical, as most players navigate the learning curve that comes with professional football.
As these players enter their second year in the league, expectations shift significantly. With an entire season’s experience and a full offseason to refine their skills, they are expected to make substantial improvements. This is especially true for first-round draft picks, who are often counted on to be transformative players. An analysis by Moneyline highlights eight selected players from the 2024 NFL Draft, including three quarterbacks, among whom significant improvements are anticipated as they approach the 2025 season. Caleb Williams, who was projected as a top pick, initially expressed reluctance to join the Chicago Bears in the lead-up to the draft but eventually committed to the team following a visit, stating, 'I can do it for this team.' His rookie season proved challenging under the previous coaching staff, as both offensive coordinator Shane Waldron and head coach Matt Eberflus were dismissed midseason. With the appointment of new head coach Ben Johnson, Williams now faces the pressure to consolidate his skills and deliver progress.
Meanwhile, General Manager Ryan Poles has bolstered the team around the young quarterback by acquiring veteran offensive linemen such as Joe Thuney, Drew Dalman, and Jonah Jackson, as well as adding dynamic playmakers like tight end Colston Loveland and wide receiver Luther Burden III in the early rounds of the draft. Williams’ development hinges on his ability to grasp pre- and post-snap reads, enhance his footwork, particularly from under center, and ensure timely execution on throws, all while allowing his natural playmaking abilities to shine through. Poles emphasized the necessity of fostering an environment where Williams can be challenged, stating, 'I think there’s a space for building someone’s confidence, but I think you have to be demanding and challenging regarding the expectations.' The performance of Williams will be closely scrutinized, especially in comparison to Jayden Daniels, who was drafted just after him in 2024.
In a surprising move during the draft, the Atlanta Falcons selected quarterback Michael Penix Jr. with the eighth overall pick, having earlier signed veteran quarterback Kirk Cousins to a substantial four-year deal. This decision was made to ensure they had a reliable starting option, particularly after trading Matt Ryan prior to the 2022 season. Although Cousins was benched by Week 16, Penix showcased glimpses of promising skills during the final three games of the season, despite completing less than 60% of his passes and matching his touchdown tally with interceptions. Pro Football Focus noted that he had an overall grade of 87.9, driven by a standout performance in Week 18. Moving forward, Penix is expected to solidify his role as the starting quarterback and leverage the talented supporting cast around him to aim for a playoff berth.
J.J. McCarthy, selected by the Minnesota Vikings with the 10th overall pick, faces a pivotal season ahead as he is compared to former starter Sam Darnold. The Vikings traded up to secure McCarthy, yet a torn meniscus curtailed his rookie campaign before it began, leading to Darnold’s impressive emergence as a Pro Bowl player in 2024. After an outstanding season with a 66.2 completion percentage and 35 touchdown passes, Darnold has since departed for the Seattle Seahawks, leaving McCarthy with the opportunity to take over as the starting signal-caller. McCarthy expressed confidence in his readiness, stating, 'I know I'm ready to start because of all the work I've put in,' emphasizing the importance of earning trust through performance.
Marvin Harrison Jr., widely regarded as one of the top wide receiver prospects in years, is set to enter his sophomore season with the Arizona Cardinals. Following a rookie year where he registered 62 receptions for 885 yards and eight touchdowns, Harrison acknowledged the need for personal improvement, particularly in strength to compete against NFL defenses. The Cardinals hope that Harrison’s offseason work will lead to increased productivity, with his performance being essential for the team’s aspirations. Looking at his rookie campaign, his early successes in games contrasted with long spells of inactivity. The Cardinals' coaching staff will need to create better opportunities for Harrison by utilizing strategic formations and maximizing his potential as their primary playmaker.
Meanwhile, the Pittsburgh Steelers had initially earmarked rookie Troy Fautanu for the starting right tackle position last season, aiming for Broderick Jones to switch to the left side. However, injuries disrupted this plan. Fautanu's promising start was hindered by a dislocated kneecap, yet the Steelers remain optimistic about his future. As they prepare for the upcoming season, the Steelers are counting on Fautanu to solidify their offensive line, particularly with uncertainty surrounding the quarterback situation, which may involve either a veteran Aaron Rodgers or a less experienced option.
Jordan Morgan, the 25th overall pick in the draft, is also in line to challenge for a starting role with the Green Bay Packers, transitioning back to his natural left tackle position after beginning his career at guard. Morgan's six appearances last season were marked by a singular start, and now, competing against Rasheed Walker, he aims to secure the position as the team focuses on supporting young quarterback Jordan Love. The Packers hope that Morgan's return to tackle will alleviate some of his shoulder injuries and enable him to thrive in an offensive scheme rich with young talent.
In the Indianapolis Colts' defensive unit, Laiatu Latu enters his second season after being drafted as the 15th overall pick in 2024. Initially viewed as a top prospect, Latu's rookie performance did not meet high expectations. With four sacks last season, he now has the opportunity to start with the departure of Dayo Odeyingbo. Colts head coach Shane Steichen remains hopeful for Latu’s progression, highlighting the importance of his work ethic and the need to significantly boost his sack total to help solidify his standing on the roster.
Dallas Turner, drafted by the Minnesota Vikings, also faced challenges as a rookie, not starting any games and playing limited snaps. Yet, with an impressive collegiate background, expectations remain high for his development. Turner is expected to benefit from an improved defensive lineup as the Vikings added notable talents in the offseason, creating an environment for him to capitalize on his potential.
Overall, these second-year players are at crucial junctures in their young careers, with improved performances anticipated as they adapt to the NFL's demands. Their success will not only reshape their careers but also impact the futures of their respective franchises.








