Preseason Over/Under Insights

On Monday night, the first preseason over/under of the 2025 Major League Baseball season was determined, as the Atlanta Braves recorded their 69th loss, ruling them out of reaching the over on their 93.5 win total. With approximately 22 percent of the season remaining, teams like the Blue Jays, Brewers, Dodgers, Marlins, and Orioles are also nearing their season conclusions—some drastically exceeding expectations while others fall short. This article will break down how each MLB team is performing against their preseason expectations, categorized by five distinct sections: Crushing It, Ahead of Schedule, Vegas Knew, Behind Schedule, and Whoopsie Daisy.

Teams That Are Crushing It

The Detroit Tigers (win projection: 83.5) currently boast a record of 75-53, projected for nearly 95 wins. Although they faded post-All-Star break, their earlier momentum saw them leading the league. Key contributions have come from Spencer Torkelson and Javier Báez, bolstered by solid performances from Zach McKinstry.

The Toronto Blue Jays (78.5) have a record of 74-53, trending toward 94 wins. After a high-spending offseason, their unexpected success is highlighted by Eric Lauer's impressive transition back to Major League pitching and Addison Barger's substantial improvement in slugging.

Teams Ahead of Schedule

Moving on, the Miami Marlins (63.5) hold a 59-67 record, projected for about 76 wins due to a strong last half of the season spurred by Kyle Stowers’ breakout performance and solid contributions from the middle infield tandem of Xavier Edwards and Otto López. The Milwaukee Brewers (83.5) are on track for over 101 wins with a current record of 79-47, surpassing preseason doubts following significant player losses.

Vegas Knew the Others

Meanwhile, teams like the Chicago Cubs (85.5) and Cincinnati Reds (78.5) have records that fit comfortably within expected ranges. With the Cubs at 72-54 and Reds at 67-60, both squads look likely to make statements, driven by their respective surprising talents and young prospects.

Behind Schedule and Whoopsie Daisy Teams

The Chicago White Sox (53.5) are slumping at 45-81, on track for a disappointing season. In the same boat, the Atlanta Braves can only look towards a future season, as they trail with a 57-69 record and are projected for just 73 wins. Furthermore, the Baltimore Orioles (87.5), despite their historically bad start, have managed to recover a bit but are still forecasted to miss their original goals.

Final Thoughts

As the season winds down, predictions for each team's performance provide insights into who may surprise and who has fallen short of their preseason expectations. Stay tuned as we continue to track the journey of each franchise leading toward the end of the season.