Introduction

As the 2025-26 NBA season approaches, the focus shifts to the league's top scorers. While advanced statistics often dominate discussions, we must remember that the ultimate goal in basketball is to score points. This article will predict the top 10 scoring leaders for the upcoming season, considering factors like player availability, aging curves, and emerging talents.

Top 10 Scoring Predictions

To ensure an accurate forecast, we will exclude players who might not meet the 58-game requirement for a scoring title, such as Joel Embiid and Zion Williamson. Additionally, we will take into account the aging curves of seasoned stars like LeBron James and Kevin Durant. This year, the list will be stocked with rising superstars and established scorers, many of whom are expected to be in MVP discussions.

10. Victor Wembanyama

Despite being recognized as an extraordinary defender, Wembanyama also showcased his scoring potential with an average of 24.3 points per game last season. With even more opportunities due to the departure of Chris Paul and the defensive attention commanded by De'Aaron Fox, Wemby is poised for a breakout into the high-20s scoring average.

9. Jalen Brunson

New head coach Mike Brown's tenure with the New York Knicks is expected to refine their offensive approach while maintaining Jalen Brunson as a focal point. Brunson's impressive average of 26.4 points per game suggests he can further elevate his output by reducing fatigue and improving ball movement.

8. Devin Booker

Currently without a point guard, Devin Booker will likely return to a more prominent scoring role after averaging 26.6 points in previous seasons. With key players missing, Booker could capitalize on increased usage in his age-29 season, aiming for a scoring peak.

7. Cade Cunningham

Cunningham's ascent to All-NBA status positions him for even greater success next season. As the Pistons' offensive leader, he could easily boost his scoring average from 26.6 points by increasing his three-point attempts and free-throw contributions.

6. Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero's consistent scoring growth makes him a candidate for a significant leap this season. With an average of 25.9 points last year and a pattern of improvement throughout his career, a rise towards 27 points per game is feasible.

5. Nikola Jokić

Jokić's unique skill set allows him to be a scoring threat despite his preference for passing. Last season, he averaged an impressive 29.6 points per game. With the addition of scoring talent around him, expect a slight rise in his scoring as he balances his unselfish play.

4. Giannis Antetokounmpo

Giannis has consistently averaged over 30 points per game in recent seasons, and with the loss of Damian Lillard, he might see an even greater scoring load this season. His ability to draw fouls and command attention in the paint will keep him atop the scoring charts.

3. Anthony Edwards

Edwards is on a clear upward trajectory, having improved his scoring average every season. Anticipating around 29 points per game this year, he stands as one of the league's most prolific scorers.

2. Luka Dončić

As last season's scoring champion, Dončić once again possesses the potential to lead the league in scoring. If he comes into the season in shape, his scoring could easily exceed the 30-point mark, assuming he maintains his focus and commitment.

1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

The safest bet for scoring remains Gilgeous-Alexander, who has averaged at least 30 points per game for the last three seasons. His dynamic scoring ability and penchant for fouls make him the top candidate for the scoring title this season.