In the NFL, 20 franchises have claimed at least one Super Bowl title, a figure that has remained unchanged since the Philadelphia Eagles achieved this milestone at the conclusion of the 2017 season. However, according to this year's odds from Moneyline, three of the top 10 favorites for the Super Bowl include teams that have yet to lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy. This analysis will explore these three teams alongside the nine other franchises still seeking their first championship and assess their prospects for breaking through in 2025.

The Buffalo Bills stand out with the highest odds among Super Bowl contenders. Having dominated the AFC East with at least 11 wins for five consecutive seasons, they came close to reaching the Super Bowl last year. With the Chiefs showing some vulnerability recently and the Ravens struggling in postseason play, the Bills have a relatively open path given their favorable match-up schedule. Their current likelihood of finally clinching their first Super Bowl title sits at 20%.

The Cincinnati Bengals, despite posting 9-8 records in the past two seasons, possess a potent offense led by talented quarterback Joe Burrow, who garnered MVP consideration after an impressive performance last season. The Bengals' recent near-misses in the Super Bowl—their close defeat in 2021 and a tight battle against the Chiefs in the 2022 AFC title game—highlight their competitive pedigree. However, they face strong division opponents like the Ravens, Bills, and Chiefs, making their chance of breaking through in 2025 approximately 8%.

Another strong contender is the Detroit Lions, who topped the NFC with an impressive 15-2 record in 2024, showcasing remarkable scoring ability and performance efficiency. They remain a dominant force heading into 2025, especially with a healthy Aidan Hutchinson on their roster. However, a challenging schedule awaits in the highly competitive NFC North, creating uncertainties about their potential path to the Super Bowl. Their chances of winning it all sit at 6%.

The Los Angeles Chargers present a high ceiling for success, potentially capable of dethroning the susceptible Chiefs in the AFC West under the guidance of Jim Harbaugh and the continued development of quarterback Justin Herbert. Last season, the Chargers achieved 11 victories, supported by the NFL's top-rated scoring defense. Yet, as they may face a more challenging landscape in 2025, especially with improved competition within their division, their chances remain at around 3%.

For the Houston Texans, the prospects hinge largely on quarterback C.J. Stroud regaining form after a stellar rookie season in 2023. Despite changes to the offensive line meant to alleviate strain from previous seasons, the team faces uncertainties regarding Stroud's effectiveness. Given their challenging schedule and the need for notable improvements in team performance, the Texans hold a slim chance of contending for the Super Bowl at 2%.

The Jacksonville Jaguars experienced some struggles in 2024 but have shown potential in prior seasons with winning records in 2022 and 2023. With Trevor Lawrence at the helm and promising additions like No. 2 overall pick Travis Hunter, they have the tools to make a rebound. The Jaguars boast an easy schedule in a relatively weak division, which could facilitate a playoff push, but following a disappointing 2024, their Super Bowl aspirations seem distant with a 2% likelihood.

The offensive duo of Kyler Murray and Marvin Harrison Jr. in Arizona presents exciting possibilities for a progressively rebuilding team. While the NFC West appears more winnable in recent years, the growth potential for the Cardinals remains high, aligning them alongside teams like Houston and Jacksonville with a probability of 2% to reach Super Bowl LX.

No rookie quarterback has ever started or won a Super Bowl, posing a considerable challenge for J.J. McCarthy, the promising talent from Minnesota who missed all of 2024 due to injury. While the Vikings have an arsenal of quality players, the uncertainty surrounding McCarthy's return and the strength of their schedule diminish initial expectations for their Super Bowl chances to 2%.

Michael Penix Jr., the Atlanta Falcons' quarterback, also finds himself in a unique position with much talent surrounding him. The Falcons look to have improved their defense and have a favorable schedule ahead. However, uncertainties still loom regarding Penix's ability to reach elite performance levels, making their Super Bowl aspirations seem further off, leading to a likelihood of only 1%.

The Carolina Panthers, currently in a rebuilding phase with Bryce Young aiming to emerge as a reliable franchise quarterback, face an uphill battle. The team's defense struggled significantly last season, highlighting the challenge ahead as they attempt to improve. With a likelihood of less than 1%, realistic Super Bowl aspirations seem elusive for the Panthers, likely requiring seasons of development and growth.

Similarly, the Tennessee Titans are in a mid-rebuild phase with rookie quarterback Cam Ward facing challenges ahead. Their primary goal for now is to gain some respectability in the league, projecting hopes for contention in 2026 or 2027, thereby placing their Super Bowl prospects at less than 1%.

Lastly, the Cleveland Browns are in danger of extending their championship drought, likely marking their 60th consecutive year without a Super Bowl win. After a difficult 3-14 season, compounded by unresolved quarterback issues and competing in a challenging division, the Browns find themselves with the least favorable chances of all: less than 1%.