Introduction

The MLB offseason has stirred excitement among fans and analysts alike, particularly with the evolving landscape of starting pitching as teams gear up for the 2026 season. As we reflect on the activity since late November, it is clear that some significant moves have reshaped the market, while other top-tier pitchers remain on the hunt for new contracts. Let’s dive into the projections for each team’s starting rotation heading into Opening Day.

Major Moves in Offseason

The landscape of starting pitching saw its most impactful move with Dylan Cease signing a lucrative 7-year, $210 million contract with the Toronto Blue Jays. This agreement stands out amidst a backdrop of other notable signings, including Michael King to the Padres and Tatsuya Imai to the Astros, both of whom landed contracts exceeding $50 million. These transactions reflect the value teams are placing on frontline starters as they seek to bolster their pitching depth.

Key Free Agents on the Market

Despite several moves, numerous high-profile pitchers remain unsigned and are looking for new contracts. Names like Framber Valdez, Zac Gallen, and Justin Verlander are yet to find new homes, with their performances and contracts closely monitored as teams make their offseason adjustments.

Projected Starting Rotations

Arizona Diamondbacks

Projected Rotation: Merrill Kelly, Ryne Nelson, Eduardo Rodriguez, Brandon Pfaadt, Michael Soroka

The Diamondbacks might look to secure veteran Merrill Kelly while banking on promising young arms like Ryne Nelson, who showcased a strong 3.16 ERA last season, to solidify their rotation.

Oakland Athletics

Projected Rotation: Luis Severino, Jeffrey Springs, Nick Martinez, Jacob Lopez, Luis Morales

Adding a seasoned veteran could be crucial for the Athletics, who see the potential in homegrown talents like Jacob Lopez, but still need reinforcement at the back end of their rotation.

Atlanta Braves

Projected Rotation: Chris Sale, Spencer Schwellenbach, Spencer Strider, Hurston Waldrep, Grant Holmes

Consistency will be key for the Braves, particularly with Hurston Waldrep coming off a stellar season, but the health of Reynaldo López adds an element of uncertainty.

Baltimore Orioles

Projected Rotation: Trevor Rogers, Kyle Bradish, Shane Baz, Dean Kremer, Zach Eflin

The Orioles made shrewd moves to add Shane Baz to their ranks, complementing a rotation aiming for one of the best in the American League.

Boston Red Sox

Projected Rotation: Garrett Crochet, Sonny Gray, Brayan Bello, Kutter Crawford, Johan Oviedo

The Red Sox’s offseason trades could pay dividends, with veteran additions enhancing a rotation that boasts depth and talent.

Expanding Horizons

Teams with Potential for Major Additions

Several teams are still seen as potential players in the offseason, with whispers surrounding the likelihood of top-tier arms like Valdez or Gallen joining their ranks. The Yankees, with their need for additional arms, look poised to make a splash while keeping their fingers crossed regarding the health of their rotation.

General Trends and Analysis

The moves made thus far indicate a clear strategy among teams prioritizing starting pitching. The market is increasingly valuing quality over quantity, with front offices aware that a solid rotation can make or break a season. As the weeks progress, teams will need to weigh their options carefully, balancing the desire for established arms with the necessity of nurturing emerging talent from within their organizations.

Conclusion

As teams finalize their starting rotations for the 2026 MLB season, the focus now shifts to both the free agent market and potential trades. With high-stake positions often reliant on starting pitching success, the coming months will prove critical for teams hoping to compete. Keep an eye on the anticipated signings and movements in the market and how they may impact the upcoming season.