
With Major League Baseball's trade deadline behind us, eyes are now shifting toward the impending free agency period that will commence shortly after the conclusion of the 2026 World Series. This offseason could turn turbulent, particularly with the current collective bargaining agreement set to expire at midnight on December 1. Anticipation builds as teams and players alike ponder the impact of a potential lockout on their strategies. Will marquee players rush to lock in deals early, or will most await the ratification of the new CBA before making any significant moves?
For nearly half of the teams who have already resigned themselves to the realities of a non-playoff season, the frenzy of free agency offers a glimmer of hope and excitement. Let’s take an early look at some of the top players expected to be available this winter, ranked by their anticipated contract size and potential landing spots.
Bo Bichette, 3B, New York Mets
Possessing an opt-out option for the remaining two years and $84M on his contract, Bichette’s performance this season could dictate whether he pursues that route. Despite a disappointing year statistically, he is likely to remain with the Mets for one more season, focusing on regaining his offensive potency.
Corbin Burnes, RHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
As he aims to recover from Tommy John surgery, it is highly improbable that Burnes will exercise his opt-out from four years and $140M left on his current contract. His future in free agency will heavily depend on his ability to showcase his health and effectiveness before the offseason.
Clay Holmes, RHP, Chicago Cubs
Expected to decline his one-year, $12M player option, the soon-to-be 34-year-old could look for a multi-year deal instead. If he can resume performance following a broken leg, a two-year contract in the neighborhood of $50M with an option for a third season would not be a surprise.
Veteran Arms: Sonny Gray and Robbie Ray
Both Gray, who turns 37 this November, and Ray, approaching 35, have impressed this season but face the challenge of securing long-term contracts at this stage of their careers. While Gray might aim for a short-term deal, Ray could potentially land a four-year contract nearing $100M if he proves his value continues into this postseason.
Brandon Lowe, 2B, Pittsburgh Pirates
A reliable power hitter, Lowe has consistently posted at least 21 home runs over the past four seasons. Despite his impressive track record, age could be a factor in contract negotiations, especially with younger talents poised to enter free agency this winter.
Ryan Jeffers, C, Minnesota Twins
Although consistent offensively, the catcher's prospects for a lucrative deal may be limited by the realities of the market for catchers. His four-year performance has shown promise, yet the best catchers often only net around $15M AAV in the current landscape.
Ian Happ, LF, Chicago Cubs
Despite struggling at the plate lately, Happ’s potential to secure a substantial contract hinges on his Gold Glove accolades. If he can break out of his recent slump before the season’s end, he might attract significant interest on the market.
Freddy Peralta: A Buy-Low Candidate
Following an underwhelming season, Peralta might find himself as a tantalizing low-risk investment for teams in need of pitching depth. Once on track for a nine-figure deal, the former ace's current status may incentivize teams like the Padres to pounce for a potential buy-low opportunity.
Casey Mize: Health Concerns Persist
The former top draft pick faces a critical crossroad regarding his health stability. Mize has shown signs of brilliance when fit, but frequent trips to the injured list lead to uncertainty about a potential hefty contract. Teams could offer incentives in the form of escalators or options.
Randy Arozarena: Durability Meets Consistency
Arozarena's impressive All-Star pedigree makes him an enticing free agent despite his incoming age. If he maintains his form, he could command a contract mirroring the five-year, $92.5M deal that was recently signed by Josh Naylor.
Tarik Skubal: The Crown Jewel
Skubal stands out as the top free agent on the market following his Cy Young winning seasons. With the potential to command upwards of $40M per year, teams like the Mets, Yankees, and Dodgers may enter bidding wars to secure his services.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Other Coveted Players
Even amid a disappointing season, Chisholm’s combination of speed and defensive prowess makes him a sought-after player in free agency. Teams such as the Phillies and Angels may compete fiercely for his talents, depending on their roster needs.
The upcoming free agency period not only promises significant movement among players but also raises questions about how many will sign early versus wait for the new collective bargaining agreement. With so much talent available, fans and teams alike can look forward to an eventful winter in Major League Baseball.

