Introduction

As fantasy football draft season heats up, managers must sift through preseason games and hype to make informed decisions. With the 2025 NFL preseason wrapped up and Week 1 on the horizon, understanding which player performances were flukes and which are genuine can be crucial for draft success.

Overreactions and Misleading Performances

The preseason has often sparked hasty conclusions among fantasy managers. Overreactions to exhibition games can cloud judgment, especially with veterans resting or returning slowly. As many rookies are still finding their rhythm, a lackluster preseason display doesn't necessarily foreshadow a disappointing regular season.

This year, teams like the Detroit Lions demonstrated that preseason losses don't define their potential. Despite a tough 1-3 record and a subpar offensive output, Coach Dan Campbell reassured fans about the team's readiness for the regular season. Players like RB Jahmyr Gibbs and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown remain key targets with high ADP rankings, promising to deliver solid performances regardless of the preseason results.

The Rookie Landscape

The New York Giants are optimistic after selecting Jaxson Dart in the first round, even though he may not see the field soon. Veteran quarterback Russell Wilson is expected to lead the team, leaving Dart in a developing position as third-string. Even with limited preseason snaps, Dart garners attention from fantasy managers, but high expectations may need adjusting as the season begins.

Similarly, Ashton Jeanty of the Las Vegas Raiders faced challenges in preseason, raising questions about his mid-first round ADP. Historically, many top-10 running backs have flourished despite shaky preseason showings, so there's still potential for Jeanty to emerge as a fantasy star once the regular games begin.

Emerging Talents and Dark Horses

For the Cincinnati Bengals, Mitchell Tinsley is an undrafted gem turned reliable receiver, but limited opportunities may hinder his fantasy relevance this season. Although he dazzled in the preseason, he competes against established players like Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins for attention from QB Joe Burrow.

Conversely, Travis Hunter of the Jacksonville Jaguars has dual-threat appeal as both a cornerback and receiver. Despite minimal preseason action, Hunter’s potential to thrive as Lawrence’s target makes him an interesting pick for fantasy managers, especially with his current rising ADP.

Conclusion

As fantasy managers prepare for the upcoming season, it's crucial to remember that preseason performances, while informative, are not definitive. Focusing on established depth charts, player potential, and avoiding overreactions to preseason results will serve managers well in building strong fantasy rosters for 2025.