Building the first NBA MVP ladder of the season poses significant challenges. This year's analysis is no exception. With limited sample sizes, the potential for second-guessing abounds. Questions arise regarding how to distinguish fact from fiction, the value of team success after fewer than 15 games, and the implications of player absences—both those that have occurred and those that are anticipated. There are no definitive answers to these questions. Ultimately, the MVP race is shaped by interpretation and preference. These early-season assessments are inherently subject to high variability. The focus here will be: if the season ended today, entering games on November 13, which players have positioned themselves as the most impactful difference-makers?
Giannis Antetokounmpo's situation is particularly challenging to assess. His statistics are remarkable, averaging nearly 30 points, 12 rebounds, five assists, and one block, while converting 63 percent of his two-point field goals. Although he has incorporated more mid-range shots into his game, this shift can be attributed to the absence of Khris Middleton and a lack of offensive alternatives aside from Damian Lillard. Despite these adjustments, the Milwaukee Bucks are struggling, raising questions about whether their poor record is merely a brief slump or indicative of deeper issues. Giannis' impact on the game's outcome is complicated; while he is not the sole reason for the Bucks' bottom-five defense, he has yet to demonstrate that he remains among the ten most valuable players in basketball amidst the team's challenges. The debate remains as to whether the system around him is at fault or if individual performance is hampering the roster’s success.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are maintaining a perfect start, and identifying their most valuable player is a complex task. Darius Garland arguably makes the strongest case, though Donovan Mitchell leads as the team's primary scorer. Garland is averaging roughly 20.0 points and 6.5 assists while demonstrating exceptional shooting accuracy—hitting 59.1 percent of his two-point attempts and nearly 46 percent from three-point range. His ability to drive the offense is evident in his 66.7 percent shooting on drives, second only to T.J. McConnell among players averaging at least seven drives per game. Garland's versatility and decision-making are crucial in keeping opposing defenses off balance.
In contrast, opinions differ on Anthony Edwards' increased three-point attempts. Currently, Edwards is hitting over 45 percent of more than 11 long-range attempts per game, which is beneficial for the Minnesota Timberwolves—until it hinders his offensive presence closer to the rim. However, his scoring output has risen to 28.1 points per game, with a career-best 61.6 true shooting percentage. This evolution is crucial for a team lacking consistent wing shooting. As the Timberwolves navigate their scoring dynamics, Edwards continues to adapt his game, showcasing both his perimeter shooting and finishing ability, though concerns remain about the overall transition defense.
The early-season success of the Golden State Warriors often centers on their defensive prowess, which has been commendable. Yet, quietly, the team boasts a top-six offense. Leading this charge is Stephen Curry, who averages around 24 points and 6.5 assists while maintaining excellent shooting efficiency. His performance, often achieved in under 30 minutes per game, is remarkable, particularly considering his age of 36 and the Warriors' reliance on him. The disparity in offensive rating when Curry is off the court illustrates his critical impact on the team's production—plummeting by over 13 points per 100 possessions, highlighting the integral nature of his role.
Luka Dončić's season has experienced inefficiencies despite the Dallas Mavericks' overall struggles, currently with a record below .500. Notably, the absence of Dereck Lively II has influenced the Mavericks' performance. However, Dončić remains a critical factor, evident in the 8.0-point advantage Dallas holds over opponents when he is on the floor. Though his scoring of 28.5 points and 7.9 assists per game is impressive, it falls short of expectations. Struggles from the floor and reduced foul-line trips are areas of concern, yet Dončić's willingness to adapt by playing off the ball provides the team with a faster pace, pointing to his significant contributions even when not at his very best.
Kevin Durant's MVP candidacy is hampered by a left calf strain, limiting his minutes this season. Despite this, his scoring efficiency remains staggering, averaging 27.6 points on an impressive 67 true shooting percentage. Such performance places him in rare company historically. Under head coach Mike Budenholzer, the Phoenix Suns have effectively optimized Durant's offensive opportunities. His efficiency in isolation situations showcases his elite scoring ability, and his defensive contributions have also been noteworthy, as he continues to navigate the complexities of a demanding season.
Jayson Tatum's early performance continues to be characterized by inconsistency in shooting, as he averages over 11 three-point attempts per game. Nevertheless, Tatum leads the Boston Celtics in both points (29.7) and assists (5.3). This evolution in playmaking has been significant, as he showcases improved facility with the offense. While he has faced challenges in rim pressure, his free-throw attempts are at a career high, demonstrating his effectiveness in drawing fouls. Despite some disappointing losses, including a tough game against the Atlanta Hawks, the Celtics' offensive strength under Tatum’s leadership cannot be denied.
Anthony Davis is finally receiving the central role in the Los Angeles Lakers' offense that analysts have long anticipated. His touches have increased, resulting in a league-leading average of 31.2 points per game alongside a career-best true shooting percentage. The adjustments in the Lakers' offensive strategy are evident as Davis has ramped up his drives and increased opportunities in transition. His effectiveness on both ends of the floor reinforces his status as an elite defensive player and his newly amplified offensive contributions provide the Lakers with a renewed sense of competition in a tightly contested league.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have carved out an identity defined by energetic defense and teamwork, which has facilitated Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's under-the-radar MVP candidacy. Averaging 27.8 points and 6.5 assists, he showcases impressive efficiency with 58.4 percent shooting on two-point attempts. Despite a decline in his three-point shooting, his ability to draw fouls has been invaluable. While discussions of his defensive prowess persist, his offensive contributions, particularly the success of the Thunder's lineups while he is on the court, are vital to the team's success, with his influence evident in the squad's offensive efficiency.
Nikola Jokić continues to assert himself in the MVP conversation as he carries the Denver Nuggets' offense. Averaging an astounding 38 minutes per game—his highest thus far in his career—Jokić's contributions reflect his status as a three-time MVP. With averages of 29.7 points, 13.7 rebounds, and 11.7 assists, his statistical dominance remains impressive. He leads the league not only in assists but also maintains a high two-point shooting percentage while converting an extraordinary rate from beyond the arc. The Nuggets' significant success can be traced back to his extraordinary ability to shape game outcomes, emphasizing his continued relevancy at the top of the league.
