The Agony of Busts in Fantasy Football

In the world of fantasy football, there is no worse feeling than a highly-drafted player failing to meet expectations, akin to combining a colonoscopy with a root canal while being audited by the IRS. The 2024 season was no exception, showcasing several notable busts among the most anticipated players.

Key Players Who Disappointed

The average first overall pick of 2024, San Francisco 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey, and Miami Dolphins wide receiver Tyreek Hill fell far short of their perceived value. Much like the historic Canyon Diablo Meteorite, both players cratered in performance, leaving fantasy managers disheartened.

Many times, a disappointing season hints at the beginning of the end for players, with Father Time being relentless. Although some players might rebound, fantasy managers often find it difficult to forgive and forget, making it tricky for those rebounders to regain their previous statuses during drafts.

The Case for Dak Prescott

Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott, despite not being viewed as an elite fantasy option in 2024, showcased potential value with an average draft position of QB10. Last season, he ranked third in fantasy points thanks to impressive passing numbers but missed nine games due to a hamstring injury. Now, with a potent offense that includes stellar receiver CeeDee Lamb and newly signed George Pickens, Prescott appears positioned for a significant comeback, especially given the Cowboys’ questionable ground attack.

Potential Comebacks from Busts

McCaffrey is a prime example of a player that embodies risk versus reward; when healthy, he can dominate as evidenced by his previous Offensive Player of the Year honors. Despite last season’s Achilles injury sidelining him for 13 games, indications suggest he is now fit again. With the 49ers dealing with injuries at wide receiver, McCaffrey's target share could soar, making him a valuable pick this coming season.

Another notable mention is Puka Nacua, a former fifth-round pick who had a remarkable rookie season but struggled with injuries last year. While her average draft position saw fluctuations due to uncertainty surrounding Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford, if he stays healthy, Nacua's potential to regain elite status remains bright.

Tyreek Hill and Marvin Harrison Jr. face Similar Struggles

Tyreek Hill's previous seasons demonstrated his capacity for brilliance, so last year's downturn raised eyebrows. Despite a tumultuous offseason, Dolphins management believes Hill can bounce back, especially with improved chemistry with quarterback Tua Tagovailoa.

Marvin Harrison Jr.'s first year with the Arizona Cardinals was not what many had anticipated. Still, positive reports about his offseason work with quarterback Kyler Murray could pave the way for a stronger 2025 season, as both players garner better chemistry.

Tight Ends: A Mixed Bag

T.J. Hockenson and Evan Engram's experiences illustrate the highs and lows of tight end performance. Hockenson is seen as a rebound candidate post-injury, with expectations to eclipse 100 targets if healthy. Conversely, Engram's disappointing last season doesn't overshadow his capabilities, especially with a new role in the Denver Broncos offense, potentially making him a sleeper that could surprise many.

Conclusion

In fantasy football, players' performances can vary drastically year over year. As managers gear up for the 2025 season, understanding the potential for players like McCaffrey, Prescott, and others to regain elite status is essential for crafting a winning team.