Way-Too-Early Predictions for the 2025 MLB Trade Deadline
Major League Baseball has yet to officially announce the date for the 2025 trade deadline; however, with July 31 falling on a Thursday this season, that date appears to be a reasonable expectation. At this point, determining which teams will be classified as buyers or sellers remains uncertain, as circumstances can fluctuate greatly within a year's time. For instance, the Milwaukee Brewers were considered likely trade deadline sellers last season but ultimately finished with a 93-win season and secured the NL Central title. Thus, while some teams might appear to fall into predictable categories in January, projections to this extent should be taken with caution, as many factors can influence their direction as the deadline approaches.
The St. Louis Cardinals have indicated plans to take a step back in 2025, which raises questions regarding their decision to retain All-Star closer Ryan Helsley. At 30 years old, given his impressive ability to throw consistently above 100 mph, Helsley presents as a prime candidate for a trade, especially since he will be a free agent following the 2025 season. With Helsley having recently earned the Trevor Hoffman Award as the best reliever in the National League, trading him might not sit well with the fanbase. It is possible that the Cardinals will monitor Helsley's performance in the first half of the season before determining the best course of action. Although the franchise is positioned for a rebuilding year, the competitive nature of the NL Central could lead to an unexpected push that complicates their plans.
The Texas Rangers experienced a disappointing 2024 following their historic 2023 World Series victory. Entering a projected weak AL West, the Rangers may bounce back in 2025, contingent on the health of two-time NL Cy Young Award winner Jacob deGrom. As of now, the Rangers have yet to re-sign their two top relievers from last season, Kirby Yates and David Robertson, and 2023 World Series hero José Leclerc has departed to join the Athletics. General manager Chris Young has added veteran Chris Martin to their bullpen but faces a significant area of need regarding high-leverage relief. If the Rangers do not find themselves in contention at the deadline, teams like the Baltimore Orioles and Arizona Diamondbacks could also emerge as potential destinations for Helsley.