As the NBA season progresses into its third week, it may be prudent to reassess the championship landscape. A crucial aspect of this evaluation involves analyzing the latest title odds and identifying which teams emerge as genuine contenders and which seem overvalued. Given the limited sample size of available data, it remains essential to weigh preseason expectations heavily. If a team was projected as a championship favorite in mid-October and has avoided significant injuries, it is reasonable to maintain that view until more games are played or a drastic change occurs.
The latest NBA Championship odds reflect the ongoing competition and the Boston Celtics have maintained their position as strong favorites. Following their impressive championship run last season, the Celtics appear undeterred, intent on showcasing that last year’s success was merely a precursor to greater achievements. Boston’s ability to shoot from beyond the arc at historic rates distinguishes them from other teams, as they currently lead the league with over half of their shots taken from long distance. Jayson Tatum has emerged as an MVP candidate while Jaylen Brown continues to shine since being awarded Finals MVP. Furthermore, Derrick White has shown enhanced confidence and production, building upon an already successful previous season. Despite questions surrounding Kristaps Porzingis' health, Boston's performance without him in the postseason last year—going 10-2 in the games he missed—reinforces their claim as a formidable team. Their capacity to lead the league in offensive efficiency creates a strong argument for their position. Verdict: Buy. The Celtics display a relentless drive that suggests they have not yet achieved their ultimate goals.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have strengthened their lineup by acquiring two top defenders, Isaiah Hartenstein and Alex Caruso, bolstering a previously fourth-ranked defensive unit. The anticipation surrounding the Thunder’s defensive potential has been validated, as the team leads the league in defensive efficiency even without Hartenstein on the court and with Caruso playing reduced minutes. Oklahoma City's defensive prowess is evident in their impressive ability to restrict opponents' shooting percentages and force turnovers more effectively than any other team. Additionally, they are maintaining low foul rates, allowing only 15.2 free throws per 100 field-goal attempts, the lowest in the league. With Shai Gilgeous-Alexander emerging as an MVP contender alongside Chet Holmgren's growth, the Thunder are exhibiting signs of being one of the best defensive teams in history, complemented by a robust offensive presence. Verdict: Sell. It would be fair to consider Oklahoma City a challenge to Boston's dominance, suggesting the odds should be adjusted accordingly.
