MLB Trade Deadline Analysis: Potential Starting Pitcher Moves

As the July 31 trade deadline approaches in Major League Baseball, the market may present notable opportunities, particularly in the realm of starting pitching. While several names have emerged in trade discussions, their actual availability remains uncertain. Furthermore, the perceived value of some pitchers might not align with their current performance. To explore potential trade scenarios, a consideration of eight intriguing starters generating buzz has been made, identifying teams that might benefit from their acquisition and possess the capability to secure a trade. The discussion will unfold in ascending order of the likelihood of each pitcher being moved, with those least likely positioned at the bottom and the most likely at the top.
Recent reports indicate that the Washington Nationals are open to hearing offers for MacKenzie Gore, with interest expressed by several teams. Despite the inquiries, the Nationals remain 'very unlikely' to part with the 2025 All-Star. The Seattle Mariners emerge as an interesting fit for Gore, as the team has been re-evaluating its pitching staff, especially in light of injuries to key pitchers. With an ERA of 3.59 and 140 strikeouts over 112.2 innings, Gore is a strong candidate to stabilize the Mariners' rotation. Moreover, Seattle's top-ranked farm system could provide the Nationals with the high-upside prospects necessary to support their rebuilding efforts.
In another development, reports suggest that Luis Severino, who is in the first year of a three-year, $67 million contract, is among the starting pitchers actively available from the Oakland Athletics. The New York Mets are identified as a suitable landing spot for Severino, who has expressed dissatisfaction with his current home field, which has contributed to his lackluster performance metrics. The Mets, seeking additional pitching depth amidst injury concerns, may consider acquiring Severino given their potential to absorb his contract without significant financial strain.
Dylan Cease of the San Diego Padres has generated interest from multiple teams, including the Chicago Cubs. While reports indicate that the Padres are not traditional sellers and are looking to address other needs, the Cubs could benefit from acquiring Cease, known for his ability to produce strikeouts. Since Cease previously played in the Cubs' system, a return could be advantageous for both parties. However, the Cubs may have limited major league assets to offer in return, though outfielder Owen Caissie stands out as a promising trade piece.
Furthermore, the Padres have shown continued interest in Sandy Alcantara of the Miami Marlins. While questions linger around Alcantara's trade value due to his struggles this season, his past accolades and contract status make him an appealing option for teams, particularly the Toronto Blue Jays. Given the Blue Jays' rotation ERA, adding Alcantara could bolster their pitching depth. His ground-ball style may see significant improvement with a solid defense backing him up, making this partnership one to watch as the trade deadline approaches.
Edward Cabrera, another Marlins pitcher, has garnered attention on the trade market. Despite injury concerns, Cabrera has demonstrated dominant performances, making him an attractive target for the Houston Astros. While the Astros face challenges regarding the depth of their farm system and the necessity for reliable starters, Cabrera's youth and affordability align well with their needs. This dynamic could lead to a productive acquisition should the opportunity arise.
Seth Lugo of the Kansas City Royals, while not formally on the trading block, might be too tempting to retain, especially if they aim to acquire controllable outfield talent. The Los Angeles Dodgers, while primarily seeking starting pitching, could explore Lugo’s potential to ease the burden on their beleaguered bullpen. Lugo’s statistical performance over the last two seasons suggests he could contribute valuable innings and stabilize the rotation amid ongoing injury issues.
The Pittsburgh Pirates are reportedly preparing for significant movement as the trade deadline approaches, with Mitch Keller emerging as a key trade target. Although Keller could fit with various teams, the Boston Red Sox may be particularly interested. With their own rotation challenges, Keller offers mid-rotation stability, which would benefit Boston’s pursuit of playoff contention. In return, the Pirates could target some of Boston's younger hitters to aid their rebuild.
Lastly, there is speculation surrounding Zac Gallen of the Arizona Diamondbacks, who has faced struggles recently but still holds value due to his past performance. The New York Yankees, in desperate need of starting pitching after injuries have ravaged their rotation, could find Gallen to be an intriguing addition. His familiarity with the New York market and potential for redemption may align well with both Gallen’s aspirations and the Yankees’ needs. Given the Diamondbacks’ current direction, the potential for a trade may ultimately become a beneficial move for both parties.








