Major League Baseball Trade Deadline Insights: Starting Pitching Market Analysis

As Major League Baseball's July 31 trade deadline approaches, starting pitching emerges as a significant focal point this season. While numerous players have generated trade rumors, the likelihood of their actual availability remains uncertain. The disparity between a pitcher's market perception and their on-field performance can complicate potential trades. Amid this buzz, an analysis has been conducted to identify intriguing starting pitchers who could potentially change teams, pairing them with franchises that might benefit from their acquisition.
The Washington Nationals have indicated a willingness to entertain offers for pitcher MacKenzie Gore, according to Jon Heyman of the New York Post. Despite interest from approximately six teams, it remains 'very unlikely' that the 2025 All-Star will be moved. The Seattle Mariners emerge as a suitable destination for Gore, who has recorded a 3.59 ERA and 140 strikeouts across 112.2 innings thus far in the season. The Mariners, despite having a reputation for strong pitching, have struggled with injuries to key pitchers such as Logan Gilbert, George Kirby, and Bryce Miller. The franchise possesses the prospect capital necessary to make a move for Gore, as their farm system is currently ranked first in the league, providing the Nationals with valuable assets to expedite their rebuilding process.
In another noteworthy rumor, Luis Severino of the Oakland Athletics has surfaced as a player actively being explored in trade discussions, despite being in the first year of a three-year, $67 million contract. The New York Mets represent an intriguing option for Severino, primarily due to his challenges at Sacramento's Sutter Health Park, where he holds a concerning 6.68 ERA compared to a much more favorable 3.10 ERA on the road. The Mets are facing a rotation riddled with uncertainties due to injuries affecting players such as Kodai Senga, Sean Manaea, and Frankie Montas. Severino, a two-time All-Star, would provide the Mets with innings and experience at a time when they are in desperate need of reliable pitching.
Additionally, Dylan Cease of the San Diego Padres has attracted interest from several teams, including the Chicago Cubs. The Padres are not typical sellers, as they seek to bolster their roster with quality options. The Cubs’ interest is propelled by their need for more strikeouts, as their current rotation has struggled in that department. Cease has been a consistent strikeout pitcher, averaging at least 10 strikeouts per nine innings over the last five seasons. A trade back to the Cubs, where he began his career before moving to the White Sox in a 2017 deal, could benefit both the pitcher and the team. The Cubs have a promising outfield prospect in Owen Caissie, who could serve as a valuable trade asset.
The trade market is also buzzing with speculation regarding Sandy Alcantara of the Miami Marlins. Despite concerns about his 6.66 ERA following Tommy John surgery, the right-hander remains an appealing option for teams. Despite getting some interest, his trade value is complicated by a significant workload early this season. The Toronto Blue Jays, leading their division, may be a match for Alcantara, who could benefit from exceptional defensive support and veteran catching in Alejandro Kirk. The Blue Jays’ defensive alignment would complement Alcantara's style, making his acquisition a strategic consideration, especially as they seek affordable talent given the ranking of their farm system.
Furthermore, Edward Cabrera, another pitcher from the Marlins, has seen a rise in his trade value, attracting interest from various teams. Cabrera’s performance has been strong, with a 2.47 ERA in his last 13 starts, illustrating his potential despite injury concerns. The Houston Astros may find Cabrera to be a fitting addition, given their need for pitching depth. His affordability and control present an attractive option for the Astros, who are looking to avoid high-salary players while needing to reinforce their rotation amidst injury setbacks.
Seth Lugo of the Kansas City Royals appears to be a valuable arm on the trade market, although the team is hesitant to part ways with him. He could serve as a key addition for teams. The Los Angeles Dodgers may explore Lugo not as an ideal starter but as a necessary piece to alleviate pressure from a struggling bullpen, which has logged significant innings this season due to injuries in their rotation. Lugo’s track record as an innings-eater and effectiveness in recent seasons may appeal to the Dodgers as they navigate their pitching woes.
Finally, Mitch Keller of the Pittsburgh Pirates has emerged as a top name to watch ahead of the trade deadline. With interest from multiple teams, including the Cubs and Blue Jays, Keller’s potential fit with the Boston Red Sox is particularly noteworthy. As a mid-rotation starter, he could provide stability to a Red Sox rotation that has been weakened by injuries. Keller’s contract extends through 2028, offering the Red Sox an opportunity to bolster their pitching staff while maintaining depth for the future as they push for playoff contention. In return, the Pirates might look for talented young hitters to build around for their continued rebuild effort.
As the trade deadline looms, the landscape of starting pitching availability continues to evolve. Teams are keen to make strategic moves that could shape the playoff race, while players like Gore, Severino, Cease, Alcantara, Cabrera, Lugo, and Keller become pivotal figures in their respective organizations' ambition to improve their rosters.








