In the ever-evolving world of fantasy football, selecting the right quarterback can make or break your season. While quarterbacks aren’t always the centerpiece of fantasy teams as they are in the actual NFL, their scoring potential is undeniable. Last season showcased that out of the top 13 scorers, 11 were quarterbacks, with every top six scorer representing the position. That said, fantasy managers often face a dilemma: should they prioritize securing a high-ranking quarterback early in the draft or wait until later rounds to fill this position?
Interestingly, statistical analysis suggests that waiting to draft a quarterback can be the more strategic option. The point differential between the first-tier QB1s and lower-tier QB10s is noticeably less pronounced than disparities observed in running backs and wide receivers. For instance, last year, Josh Allen, the top quarterback, amassed 374.6 points, while QB10 Justin Herbert landed with 299.9 points. In contrast, the difference between the top running back, Jonathan Taylor (316.3 points), and Chase Brown (213.6 points)—the tenth-ranked RB—is far more substantial.
Looking ahead to the 2026 fantasy drafts, several quarterbacks are poised to outperform their average draft position (ADP), providing managers the chance to assemble a powerhouse roster. Here are five sleeper quarterbacks to consider targeting in the later rounds of your fantasy draft.
1. Kyler Murray - Minnesota Vikings
Ranked at QB17 with an ADP of 112, Kyler Murray’s recent signing with the Minnesota Vikings could be a game changer. After a challenging season with the Arizona Cardinals, Murray joins a team with weapons like Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison, bolstered by head coach Kevin O'Connell’s reputation as a quarterback whisperer.
Murray’s career stats reflect his dual-threat capabilities, with a completion rate of 67.1%, 20,460 passing yards, and 121 passing touchdowns. Additionally, his rushing prowess is significant; he has consistently clocked over 400 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns during seasons where he played more than three games. This change of environment could see Murray not only rejuvenate his career but potentially finish among the top-five quarterbacks in fantasy football.
2. Baker Mayfield - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
At QB19 with an ADP of 119, Baker Mayfield's resilient performance makes him another intriguing target. Even though he experienced a setback last season, Mayfield was on track for a top-10 finish before an injury hampered his performance. Despite grappling with team changes, including the departure of offensive coordinator Liam Coen, the potential for resurgence is apparent.
The Bucs possess an impressive wide receiver corps, led by Emeka Egbuka and bolstered with Chris Godwin Jr. and rookie Ted Hurst III. As long as Mayfield maintains his health, he should shatter low expectations for his draft position—making him a worthwhile late-round selection.
3. Tyler Shough - New Orleans Saints
Positioned at QB20 and sporting an ADP of 123, Tyler Shough emerged as a noteworthy talent for the New Orleans Saints last season. His late surge was marked by several top-16 finishes as he evolved into a reliable starter. With enhancements to his supporting cast—including newly drafted wideouts—Shough is likely to take a significant leap forward.
Notably, Shough racked up impressive numbers during the 2025 season, with a completion rate of 67.6% and a positive rushing contribution. As he benefits from a full offseason preparing as the starter, he poses high value and could surprise many by climbing into the top-10 fantasy quarterbacks this season.
4. Malik Willis - Miami Dolphins
Ranked at QB21 with an ADP of 133, Malik Willis stands at a critical juncture in his career. Following the departure of Tua Tagovailoa, Willis is now set to lead the Miami Dolphins' offense. Under new coach Jeff Hafley, Willis encounters an opportunity to showcase his never-before-seen potential.
Though he struggled to find consistent playing time in Green Bay, Willis demonstrated flashes of brilliance, noting key performances with high fantasy points in rare starts. His unique ability to make plays with his legs gives him a substantial upside in fantasy production. If Willis replicates his previous performances with an improved skill set around him, this investment in a late-round quarterback could reap tremendous rewards.
5. Cam Ward - Tennessee Titans
Completing the list at QB22 with an ADP of 138, Cam Ward comes into 2026 as a player with plenty to prove. Despite a challenging rookie season, his situation has improved significantly with notable offseason acquisitions. The Titans’ decision to surround him with top talent, including No. 4 overall pick Carnell Tate, strengthens their receiving corps.
With a reinforced offensive line—thanks to free agents Austin Schlottman and Cordell Volson—Ward is expected to perform more efficiently and decisively. The Titans' faith in him is evident, and with the right circumstances, he could emerge as a starter worthy of being league-winner in fantasy leagues.
In wrapping up, the importance of making strategic choices in fantasy football drafts cannot be overstated. While the allure of high-profile quarterbacks is tempting, uncovering value picks like Murray, Mayfield, Shough, Willis, and Ward may just be the key to crafting a championship-winning roster for 2026. Managers should keep these potential sleeper picks in mind as they finalize their draft strategies.
