Examining Fantasy Sleepers from NFL Training Camps

Training camps are currently in progress across the NFL, generating significant anticipation for fantasy managers as draft season approaches. This is an opportune moment to gain insights into the strategic plans of various teams for the impending season. However, this time can also fraught with overreactions, as fantasy managers often respond dramatically to events in camp. For example, a third-string wide receiver might make a spectacular catch, prompting wild expectations, while a starting quarterback may throw multiple interceptions, leading to hasty dismissals. Despite this tendency, training camp offers valuable information, particularly regarding unresolved position battles, from the quarterback situation in Indianapolis to the running back competition in Dallas. Players are vying for increased roles, attempting to recover from injuries, or striving to make their mark in their first season. Within these contexts lies an element of sleeper potential—players available later in drafts who might significantly outperform their average draft position (ADP).
One notable example is Sam Darnold, currently listed as ADP: QB28, 178th overall. Darnold has experienced an eventful year, initially showcasing impressive performance last season as he led the Minnesota Vikings to a 14-3 record, amassing 4,319 passing yards and 35 touchdowns, which contributed to a QB7 fantasy finish. However, Minnesota's decision to favor J.J. McCarthy as the new starting quarterback has shifted the narrative. After signing a three-year, $100.5 million deal with the Seattle Seahawks, Darnold finds himself in a new environment. The fantasy community appears skeptical about his ability to replicate his previous success, viewing his impressive 2024 season as potentially a fluke. However, analysts, such as Andrew Cooper from Fantasy Alarm, argue that Darnold's new situation may be equally advantageous. Cooper highlights the effectiveness of the Seahawks' offensive scheme under new coordinator Klint Kubiak as a favorable variable for Darnold's performance, suggesting that fantasy managers should keep an eye on him throughout the upcoming season.
Another player who deserves attention is Daniel Jones of the Indianapolis Colts, currently at ADP: QB32, 238th overall. Despite being virtually undrafted in most fantasy leagues, Jones has reportedly gained a significant lead in the battle for the starting position, especially with Anthony Richardson sidelined. Historically, Jones has shown flashes of potential, most notably during the 2022 season when he had 3,205 passing yards and 15 touchdowns, complemented by 708 rushing yards and seven additional touchdowns. While questions persist about his overall quarterback skills, if he secures the starting role, he could be a valuable asset given the improved offensive weapons available in Indianapolis compared to his previous tenure with the New York Giants.
Javonte Williams, currently posted at ADP: RB38, 112th overall, is another intriguing prospect. Once viewed as a breakout star, Williams produced more than 1,200 total yards as a rookie for the Denver Broncos but faced significant challenges the following year due to a knee injury. In the 2024 season, he managed only 513 rushing yards, continuing his struggle to find form. Now signed with the Dallas Cowboys, Williams has expressed renewed confidence in his health and capabilities. Competitive dynamics with veteran Miles Sanders and rookie Jaydon Blue complicate his situation; however, if Williams can reclaim his pre-injury form, he could secure a favorable position, particularly given Sanders' lackluster performance in recent seasons.
The Denver Broncos have also picked up J.K. Dobbins, whose ADP stands at RB40, 119th overall. Despite being a reliable performer when healthy, Dobbins has struggled with injuries throughout his career. After moving from the Los Angeles Chargers to the Broncos, Dobbins finds himself in a more uncertain role, especially with the recent drafting of R.J. Harvey. Yet, as noted by Jon Heath of Broncos Wire, head coach Sean Payton's history of utilizing a dual-back system presents a potential silver lining for Dobbins. If given the opportunity, Dobbins might surprise fantasy managers by gaining valuable usage and producing significant numbers.
At wide receiver, Tre Harris, drafted by the Los Angeles Chargers, merits consideration with an ADP of WR54, 135th overall. After impressing at Ole Miss, where he averaged over 17 yards per catch, Harris's chances have increased following Mike Williams' retirement. Analysts from Fantasy Pros have highlighted Harris’s potential to rise in the depth chart, particularly as he aligns with quarterback Justin Herbert. Harris could provide exceptional value in fantasy drafts if the Chargers maintain an aggressive passing strategy this season.
Cleveland Browns wide receiver Cedric Tillman, currently showing an ADP of WR65, 169th overall, is often overlooked amidst a turbulent season for the franchise. His statistics from the past two seasons may not reflect his potential; Tillman previously averaged a notable 10 targets and 75.5 yards over a short stretch last year when given the opportunity. As he competes for a starting position, the prospect of playing opposite established talents could lend itself to favorable matchups. Should the Browns provide competent quarterback play, it would significantly enhance Tillman's chances to make an impact this season.
Lastly, Isaiah Likely of the Baltimore Ravens, listed with an ADP of TE17, 145th overall, offers noteworthy upside. Likely showcased significant promise during the previous season and could have a clearer path to prominence if Mark Andrews begins to decline or sustains an injury. The Ravens might leverage Likely's skills more effectively this season, with expectations that he could emerge as a valuable tight end in the fantasy landscape. As training camp unfolds, monitoring Likely’s progress will be essential for fantasy managers looking for late-round talent.








