Anticipation Builds for 2025 Baseball Hall of Fame Voting Results
The 2025 Baseball Hall of Fame voting results are set to be unveiled on Tuesday at 6 p.m. ET on MLB Network, creating a wave of speculation about which players will be elected to the esteemed institution. Outfielder Ichiro Suzuki is currently trending at 100 percent support, with more than 40 percent of ballots made public. Pitcher CC Sabathia is also enjoying strong backing, exceeding 90 percent support in his first year of eligibility. This pair stands as strong candidates to join Dave Parker and Dick Allen, who were previously selected by the Classic Baseball Era Committee. However, questions remain as to whether additional players will secure a place among them.
Holdovers Billy Wagner and Carlos Beltrán are presently above the 75 percent threshold required for induction, while Andruw Jones is nearing that mark. Each of these three players faces potential risks once the total votes from private ballots are counted. This is particularly critical for Wagner, as it marks his tenth and final year of eligibility, making this vote pivotal for his Hall of Fame aspirations. As anticipation mounts for the results, analysts consider how the voting may unfold, aided by early voting data meticulously compiled by Ryan Thibodaux and his team at Baseball Hall of Fame Vote Tracker, along with insights from previous years.
Ichiro Suzuki and CC Sabathia have long been viewed as likely first-ballot inductees, while Félix Hernández is expected to meet the five percent support threshold to remain on the ballot for another year. Among the other first-time eligible candidates, only Dustin Pedroia has so far secured enough votes to stay for another cycle. This year is estimated to have around 392 voters, meaning that it will take a total of 20 votes for players on the cut line to continue their Hall of Fame journey. Additionally, several newcomers, including outfielder Torii Hunter, appear in jeopardy of falling off the ballot, while others like Mark Buehrle, Omar Vizquel, and David Wright have set themselves up for another year of consideration.
Félix Hernández presents an intriguing case when evaluating the sentiment of the Baseball Writers' Association of America (BBWAA) towards modern starting pitchers. Despite not reaching milestones such as 300 wins or 3,000 innings pitched, Hernández established himself as one of the top pitchers in baseball during an impressive eight-year peak. Over that stretch, he recorded a 113-76 win-loss record, 2.90 ERA, and 1,724 strikeouts across 1,796.2 innings, ultimately accumulating 41.9 WAR. Notably, he finished within the top 10 of Cy Young Award voting six times, including a runner-up finish and winning the award in 2010. With 25.0 percent support thus far from the public ballots, Hernández has set a favorable foundation for his future, drawing comparisons to recent inductee Mike Mussina, who successfully climbed from 20.3 percent support in his first year to 75 percent by his sixth year.
Looking ahead, one of the major narratives for the 2026 ballot is likely to revolve around Manny Ramirez as he approaches his tenth and final year of eligibility. Despite garnering less than 30 percent support during his initial six years, Ramirez has started to gain some traction. Nevertheless, he faces a challenging road to the 75 percent threshold. With an impressive record featuring 555 home runs, 1,831 RBI, and 69.3 WAR, Ramirez is celebrated as one of the most formidable offensive players in MLB history. However, pair of PED suspensions late in his career have hindered his Hall of Fame prospects. Comparatively, Gary Sheffield achieved 63.9 percent support in his final year after first struggling to exceed 20 percent. Yet Ramirez's current support presents a steeper challenge than what Sheffield faced, further complicating his pathway to induction.
Chase Utley established a commendable foundation during his inaugural eligibility by receiving 28.8 percent of the vote, and he is marked for significant progress in his second year. With a total of 64.5 WAR over a career spanning 16 seasons, Utley ranks 14th all-time among second basemen and is positioned ahead of Hall of Famers such as Jackie Robinson and Billy Herman. Although he is unlikely to achieve induction this year, signs indicate his path may be clearer than it appeared twelve months ago, as Utley currently stands at 53.5 percent in voting support. Given the absence of overtly compelling first-year candidates on the 2026 ballot, Utley stands to see a further elevation in his voting percentages in the coming election, indicating a brighter outlook for potential induction in the near future.
Among those notable candidates, Carlos Beltrán and Andruw Jones may have to defer their induction as they have yet to break through in 2025, moving perhaps to the discussions for 2026. Beltrán, a rare player with over 400 home runs and 300 stolen bases, alongside Jones, celebrated for his exceptional two-way playing ability with 434 home runs and 10 Gold Glove Awards, provide compelling cases for enshrinement. Presently, Beltrán holds a majority over the 75 percent mark; however, based on the previous year’s votes, a significant disparity was found between public and private ballots. Expect this year’s final count to reflect a downward adjustment. Similarly, Jones is hovering close to the threshold, also subject to the effects of private vote tallies. Their prospects, with the potential for pivotal shifts in 2026 nominations, will likely be under continued scrutiny as both have demonstrated considerable merit for induction.
Billy Wagner, having narrowly missed selection in 2024 by merely five votes, confronts an essential decision point in his tenth and final year of eligibility. Initially struggling to achieve 20 percent support in his first four years, his trajectory has notably improved over time. With remarkable statistics that include a 2.31 ERA, 1.00 WHIP, 11.9 strikeouts per nine innings, and 422 saves—the sixth-highest in history—Wagner has established his place as a premier left-handed reliever and stands poised for induction in 2025.
CC Sabathia, who debuted at the age of 20 in 2001, has proven to be a stalwart force within Major League Baseball (MLB) for nearly two decades. He captured the AL Cy Young Award in 2007 and is recognized as a dominant starter throughout his career. Following his compelling success with the Milwaukee Brewers, Sabathia signed with the New York Yankees and solidified his legacy by accumulating 251 career wins, 3,093 strikeouts, and an impressive inning total of 3,577.1. He is firmly expected to gain induction as a first-ballot selection following a career distinguished by impactful performances on the mound.
The question surrounding Ichiro Suzuki's induction is not if he will receive a first-ballot nod, but rather if he will replicate Mariano Rivera's historic achievement of receiving 100 percent voting support. Suzuki, who made his MLB debut at age 27 after an illustrious career in Japan, accumulated 3,089 hits in 19 seasons. His accomplishments encompassed a batting average of .311, including 10 consecutive seasons with 200 hits. Suzuki has garnered accolades such as being a 10-time All-Star, a 10-time Gold Glove winner, and a two-time batting champion. His legacy extends beyond the diamond, as he played a crucial role in bridging the gap for future generations of players within MLB, earning him a household name across baseball. With a compelling body of work and legacy, he appears destined to enter Cooperstown amid strong support.