The 2026 NFL MVP race is shaping up to be an exciting showdown, with DraftKings odds highlighting familiar faces like Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson as frontrunners for the prestigious award. Their consistency and extraordinary performances have earned them perennial contender status. However, the race won't be limited to these two superstars. They will be joined by established talents like Patrick Mahomes, reigning MVP Matthew Stafford, and last year's runner-up, Drake Maye. The quarterback landscape in the league is filled with formidable talent, and many intriguing names are lurking just outside the primary contenders.

Current Frontrunners

As of June 19, DraftKings indicates that Allen and Jackson head the pack, both being central to their teams' playoff aspirations. Alongside them, two-time MVP Patrick Mahomes and reigning MVP Matthew Stafford are strong candidates, while quarterback Justin Herbert, Joe Burrow, and Dak Prescott remain popular choices in MVP discussions. New talent also enters the mix in the form of Caleb Williams and Jordan Love, with the odds for these eight players being +1500 or better.

Key Contenders in 2026

Beyond the favorites, several quarterbacks stand out on the betting board, albeit with longer odds. Let’s explore five dark horses who could potentially make a surprise charge in the MVP race.

Trevor Lawrence (+2200)

Lawrence has had a rocky start to his career but his potential remains undeniable. At 26, he has only one Pro Bowl selection despite being the No. 1 overall draft pick. What makes his candidacy compelling is his performance toward the end of the 2025 season where he managed an impressive 15 touchdowns against only one interception, coupled with a passer rating of 113.2 in his last six games. With a revamped Jaguars offense under Liam Coen, there are signs of a breakthrough on the horizon.

Sam Darnold (+2800)

After a turbulent tenure as a starter, Darnold found himself among the league's turnover leaders last season. The 29-year-old now faces the challenge of following up Seattle's Super Bowl LX victory while adjusting to a new offensive scheme. Yet, his previous potential as a top-three draft pick and the team’s continuing support could set him on a path to success. With newfound confidence and a robust lineup, Darnold may surprise critics with a standout season.

Bo Nix (+3500)

Nix enters his third year as a quarterback with the potential for a significant leap forward. Following a minor sophomore slump, he will face stiff competition from the top quarterbacks in the AFC. Nix’s recovery from ankle surgery this offseason has raised concerns, but he is expected to be fully ready for training camp. With an upgraded offensive line, a strong defense, and the addition of wide receiver Jaylen Waddle, Nix has the tools necessary to excel.

Kyler Murray (+4000)

Murray, a two-time Pro Bowler, has experienced a tumultuous career marked by injuries and inconsistency. Now with the Minnesota Vikings after parting ways with the Cardinals, he aims to revitalize his career with a robust offensive line and the league's top receiver, Justin Jefferson, at his disposal. With a new coaching staff led by Kevin O’Connell, there’s potential for Murray to harness his unique talent and make a comeback in his age-29 season.

Jackson Dart (+4500)

Jackson Dart is currently in a precarious position with only 12 career starts. There’s uncertainty surrounding the offense due to a new coaching staff, which may hinder his chances for rapid success. However, introducing key players to the roster, along with a bolstered offensive line, may provide Dart the support he needs to enhance his game. If his performances reflect the potential glimpses seen last season, Dart could evolve into a dark horse MVP candidate.

The Outlook for 2026

The 2026 NFL MVP race promises to be one of the most competitive in recent years. With established stalwarts like Allen, Jackson, and Mahomes leading the way, alongside up-and-coming talents eager to make their mark, the landscape is fertile for surprises. While the odds indicate favorites, the unpredictability of the NFL leaves the door open for dark horses to emerge. Each quarterback listed has their unique challenges and opportunities, and as the 2026 season unfolds, it will be fascinating to see who steps up and potentially claims the MVP title.